A holiday promotion can increase orders while leaving the business with less money to cover its costs. That happens when the discount is chosen for its headline appeal before anyone calculates what each sale contributes.
In November 2020, planning also needs to account for uncertain demand, changing fulfilment conditions and the capacity of the team delivering the offer. A campaign should promise what the business can reliably provide, with terms customers can understand before they buy.
Start with the reason for the promotion. Are you introducing a product, encouraging an earlier order, clearing specific stock or attracting an appropriate new customer? A clear objective makes it easier to choose an offer that earns its cost.
Calculate The Discount's Effect Before Designing The Banner
Consider an imaginary product sold for $100 with $60 in direct variable costs. Before advertising and fixed overhead, it contributes $40. A 20% discount reduces the selling price to $80 and the contribution to $20 if those costs stay the same.
The price fell by one fifth, but contribution per unit fell by half. To produce the original $400 contribution from ten full price sales, the business now needs twenty discounted sales. That assumes identical variable costs and excludes any additional advertising, overtime or fulfilment expense.
| Scenario | Price | Variable cost | Contribution per unit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Regular price | $100 | $60 | $40 |
| 10% discount | $90 | $60 | $30 |
| 20% discount | $80 | $60 | $20 |
These are illustrative Canadian dollar calculations, not a forecast. Use your actual costs, including fees or shipping support that change with the promotion. A discount can be worthwhile, but its business case needs more than a higher order count.
Match The Offer To The Objective
If the goal is to move a particular item, a discount across the entire catalogue may give away margin on products that would have sold anyway. If the goal is to encourage earlier ordering, a clear cutoff and a useful scheduling benefit may be more relevant.
Consider alternatives such as a carefully costed bundle, a bonus with a low delivery cost or an added service that fits existing capacity. Compare each option with the same contribution calculation.
Do not assume a bundle is automatically profitable. Customers may substitute it for a more valuable purchase, or the included item may cost more to fulfil than expected. Write down the purchase behaviour you are hoping to change and what evidence would support that assumption.
Check Capacity Before Setting A Target
Ask operations how many additional orders can be processed without compromising existing commitments. Identify the constraint: stock, packing time, delivery slots, production capacity or customer service coverage.
An imaginary personalised gift business might have plenty of blank products but limited engraving time. Advertising the available stock without considering the production queue creates a promise the team cannot fulfil.
Plan a stop condition before launch. Decide who can pause the campaign, remove an unavailable option or revise the delivery message. A promotion should not continue at full speed simply because the creative is scheduled.
Put The Important Terms Beside The Offer
Explain what qualifies, when the promotion ends, whether quantities are limited and which costs remain payable. Make the purchasing conditions easy to find before the customer commits.
Use real deadlines and accurate availability. A countdown that repeatedly resets does not help a customer make an informed decision. Neither does an inflated reference price created to make a routine offer look exceptional.
For collection or delivery, state the relevant cutoff and distinguish order processing from arrival. If circumstances require a change, update the offer wherever it appears and contact affected customers through the appropriate channels.
Prepare The Whole Journey, Not Just The Advertisement
Review the destination page, product options, discount calculation, checkout and confirmation message. Make a test purchase using the platform's supported test process and confirm that the correct offer appears throughout.
Check what happens when the basket includes an excluded product, an unavailable variant or an order below the qualifying threshold. Helpful explanations reduce confusion before it becomes a support conversation.
For a service promotion, clarify whether the customer is purchasing a confirmed appointment, a voucher or an initial consultation. These represent different commitments. The confirmation should reflect the actual arrangement.
Segment The Communication By Relevance
Send the offer to people with a reasonable connection to it and within the communication permissions your business holds. Existing customers may need a different explanation from people encountering the brand for the first time.
For example, someone who recently bought a product may find a compatible accessory useful. Receiving an aggressive discount on the item they purchased yesterday may require more careful handling. Ask how the promotion will feel from the customer's side.
Coordinate email, social content and paid advertising so they use the same conditions. Keep a single offer reference that the team can check when answering questions. Conflicting versions can create avoidable disappointment even when each message looks polished individually.
Decide How You Will Judge The Result
Track contribution after the promotion's variable costs and advertising, not just gross revenue. Record refunds, cancellations, fulfilment issues and support time where practical.
Separate new customers from existing customers if your records allow it. A new buyer is not automatically more valuable; the distinction helps you understand whether the campaign mainly encouraged discovery or discounted purchases from people already likely to buy.
Compare the outcome with a reasonable baseline and acknowledge uncertainty. Holiday demand, availability and other campaigns may change at the same time. Do not attribute every additional sale to one email simply because it was sent that morning.
Give The Offer A Clean Ending
Remove expired banners, stop scheduled reminders and update the destination page. Honour the terms of valid orders and preserve the internal record of what customers were offered.
Use our product page guide to check whether the information surrounding the promotion helps customers choose accurately.
Your next move: calculate contribution at the proposed promotional price, then confirm the team can fulfil the volume required. Approve the banner only after the offer works on paper and in the customer journey.
Written for the 2020 archive series. Platform references reflect the assigned period.
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